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hmm so i'm sure china is happy

LOL, financial speculation is funny.  I'm obviously not an expert at it.  No formal training in econ aside from basic macro micro nonsense.  Best I can guess at is looking at big overall patterns. Then again, I'm not an expert in housing or the tech sector, and it was pretty obvious to an untrained layman, like myself, that those were bubbles.  Same thing with oil.  Lots of games being played under the surface ... ah well.  Thousands of leprechauns spending lifetimes all running after giant pots of gold.
 
Anyhoo, just wondering how China is enjoying this little ride.  The dollar's weak, but China lives and dies by exports so it artificially has to keep its currency low to match the dollar.  Oil is bad enough in the US, so you wonder how China is dealing with it. Hmm, but they subsidize oil, so the braking effect on demand isn't as strong in China.  Kind of a double whammy.
 
Also, you wonder how overall demand for their exports will fare with high energy costs eating up disposable income and when inflation starts to go on the march .... A global slowdown isn't going to help.
 
China's economy is gonna grow, but less due to high oil prices
Interesting - high oil leading to rise in coal prices and coal shortages in China and plants idling turbines
 
However they are still exporting coal - though decreasing ... less by 4.1%
 
And gearing up for coal-to-oil conversion plants - which makes environmentalists none too happy (Environmental News Network)
 
article on China's determined efforts on acquiring oil - back in the good 'ol days of $3 gas
 
Interesting quote from Tech Review
Since China has very little in the way of oil and gas reserves, its future depends on coal. With 13 percent of the world's proven reserves, China has enough coal to sustain its economic growth for a century or more.
And first paragraph from BBC News article
Coal built China - and fuels its relentless growth today. Eighty per cent of China's electricity comes from coal, and there are plans for 544 new coal-fired power stations to meet an insatiable demand for energy
 
Last two articles focus more on clean coal and greenhouse emissions, but let's face it, the Chinese gov't place environment second after economic growth.  Oil speculators keep talking up China, but it seems that their economy is geared around coal. 
 
Ah well, it's not like I know anything in depth about this, but it's interesting to look at just out of curiosity and see how things eventually turn out.
 
Edit: I'm looking around for cost per barrel for coal liquefaction. The sauce that wiki uses is a 2002 article from Diesel Fuel News. Have no clue if they're reliable or not.  They say break even for China is oil above $20 per barrel, and $33-$35 for the US.  LMAO.  This can't be right!!!

Another key factor driving the project is China's interest in development strategic yet fairly cost-competitive alternatives to crude oil imports. While Shenhua officials believe the new project will provide a decent return on investment (close to 15%), this depends upon crude oil prices staying above $20/barrel.

In contrast, a similar project in the U.S. -- if ever attempted strictly on commercial terms -- would require long-term world crude prices to hover around $33 to $35/barrel, HTI's Lee explains. Such levels haven't been sustained for any lengthy period in world history.

 
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Funny article from the Economist about short sellers

Funny how if we aren't mad at speculators, we're mad at short sellers.  I don't mind people hedging against the dollar or the stock market or inflation or whatever new contrivance or formulaic potion some new financial guru has concocted to make zillions of dollars in perpetuity.  Just do it without screwing up oil and gas prices and world economies.  People go to war over oil.  So scram. Go speculate elsewhere.

http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=11591349
 
 
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fed ex converting to horseback and pterodactyl riders

i can't stand it. ever the glutton for punishment, i read this article about speculators and supply and demand ... latimes. urgh. ima just gonna take my ball and glove, go home, and not play this game anymore.

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-lazarus25-2008jun25,0,2383398.column
 
it's hard for industries to wave their magical wands and sprout nuclear power plants and have factories run on wishful thinking. and fed ex will need some time to convert their fleet to horseback and pterodactyl riders.

so, oil prices will go up and up and up and up and up and up and up and up and up to 2 bazillion dollars per barrel... until u put so many fat speculators sitting on a donkey that you break its back and the world goes into recession.

of course, this is all just supply and demand, so oil won't drop in price since this is the sparkly new reality.  yeah, right. watch what happens to oil prices when the world economy goes under. oh wait, closed down factories and jobless people don't use as much oil. oh, you're right! so it is supply and demand after all! >.<
 
edit: correction. oil prices might plummet as speculators jump out just before we all go over the economic cliff. huzzah.
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i'm bored. read my other blog instead

 
of course, i got bored there too and stopped blogging.  
 
anyhoo, politics is a waste of time unless u have power. also, people get distracted by the dog and pony show of presidents and congressmen when the true power lies behind the gigantic bureaucratic beast that is immune to elections and is perpetually growing and will eventually consume all in its path.
 
good night.
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Death by incrementalism - a love story

Death by incrementalism. Psychology will keep moving the prices back up, regardless of all of the real changes that have occurred - increased production from the Saudis, a sustained drop in US demand, lifting of gas subsidies in growing economies, changes in regulation on oil speculation, stabilization of the dollar, shifts in auto production and purchases, etc.

Doesn't matter. All of it has been too incremental, so psychologically, the speculators can mentally absorb the shock and find some rationale to justify jacking prices back up.  However, they do seem to be afraid of the $140 mark (so far) but also seem to believe that they can psychologically sustain prices above $130.

LOL, some estimate that this is around $40 higher than real supply and demand (that's why it's a bubble, duh).  Since everybody has pulled a Pontius Pilate and washed their hands of the matter, it looks like the only thing that will knock oil down is a recession.

Great job! Terrific leadership! You know, the usefulness of the guillotine might be underrated.

 
It's pretty simple.  Eventually, the drag on world economies from oil prices and inflation will pull other countries down into recessions and eventually, the US along with it.  Nothing complicated - even an idiot like myself can see this is happening right now (it's a shame since our economy did such a brave job in fighting past the credit and housing fiascos despite rising gas costs and constant media drumbeats of doom).  Anyhoo, mild to severe stagflation will kick in, oil demand will drop, the oil bubble will pop, and then everyone will cross their fingers and hope that the world economy will recover sooner, rather than later.
 
http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080626/economy.html?.v=14
 
I was one of the few people that didn't buy into the doom and gloom nonsense when it was the hip and trendy craze, and I believed that the economy could avoid a recession.  I was right, but now oil has gone beyond ridiculous.  
 
The situation is really, really simple.  Oil speculators won't back off of current prices until we get a recession.
 
Why?  The psychology of incrementalism.  Look at the list of things that have changed ... and oil prices still won't move anywhere but up.  Even a surprise rate hike yesterday might have gotten the ball rolling a little with the dollar and all that, but oil probably would have eventually crept back up anyway. *sigh*
 
But it's just a guess. I could be wrong. Anyhoo, I'm not gonna bother with oil anymore since nobody will implement the necessary measures for both short-term and long-term solutions.
 
This has been about as much fun as watching a bunch of idiots drive your car over a cliff at 5 mph from 1 mile out.  You're jogging alongside of them, telling them what to do, but they're all like, oh noes!!! ima gonna crash!!! i hope the recessionary fall isn't too steep or protracted!!! and have their eyes covered with both hands. Like I said, the guillotine is highly underrated.  :P
 
(and I now understand why beheadings were such festive occasions)
 
P.S. oh yeah, about the SCOTUS gun rights thing.  Well duh, I'm surprised it was even that close.  However, it looks like strict constructionists barely eked out a win.  I wonder if the Constitution's days are numbered.  A day may come when it will just be a quaint document that looks pretty in a glass case - and nothing more.  Oh well, we're all gonna turn into cybernetic energy beings in the far future anyway, so I guess it doesn't matter. -_-
 
 
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Hope Fed raises rates - tho prolly won't happen

Oil prices just got knocked down by higher inventories
http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080625/oil_prices.html
 
Here's hoping that the Fed surprises everyone and raises interest rates today (although I doubt it) and pushes oil down even further while strengthening the dollar.  Nothing like a good 1-2 punch combo.  Congress is gonna push through a huge housing bailout past Bush's veto anyway (or agree on a compromise), so why not raise the rates?  If oil prices can get back under control, and Congress can pass measures to reduce oil speculation, then a potential global recession could be averted.
 
Heck, it would be awesome if news of higher oil inventories, a fed rate hike, oil speculation regulation passage, Bush opening up some of the SPR, and Congressional passage of drilling laws happened all at once - lol.  Pure fantasy, of course.
 
(of course, hiking interest rates will have a much more complex effect overall, but i think taming oil is the most important problem right now)
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Solve ANY problem in just 6 easy steps

You too can solve ANY problem - big or small - in just 6 easy steps.

  1. Immediately find someone else to blame (a 1337 variation - take full responsibility in a vague, general way, and then specifically blame someone else)
  2. Cover your rear
  3. Tell the people that you are blaming to do so something
  4. Wash your hands of the problem by saying that you did all that you could do (while essentially doing nothing)
  5. Show that you are working hard on the problem by emphasizing that others are not doing enough to your satisfaction
  6. If nobody is actually doing anything to fix the problem, redouble your efforts by going through steps 1-5 again until the problem goes away
Note: it is very important to do nothing. If people see you are doing something, they will conclude you were to blame and blame you for not having done it sooner.
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Environmental scientists - the cult of the converted?

Simple question - what kind of person decides to go into the environmental sciences as a career?

For the most part, I believe many are already "converts" to the environmental cause, so it is wise to be a bit more cautious about their objectivity. As an undergrad, I bumped into someone studying environmental science at a big name university.  His opinions were already set, and he was (can you believe it?) an ardent Chomsky-ite. 

I suspect that different professions attract different types of people.  It's no surprise that journalists tend to be liberal and many of their stories are built around the premise of "why isn't gov't doing something about this problem?"  Similarly, I doubt many pacifists decide to join the military or atheists choose to become priests.  I'd even venture that business majors probably desire money more than the average person, and devout churchgoers don't usually become exotic dancers. It's just common sense.
 
I'm not saying that scientists who study the environment can't be objective, but I tend to be more cautious about their findings and conclusions.  For example, was Hansen just a brilliant and prescient mind who could foresee these climatic patterns coalescing within his mind without the benefit of powerful computer models, or was he just a zealot who hitched his wagon to anthropogenic global warming early in his career and was gonna whip that horse no matter what?
 
Heheh, ok, so I phrased that question pretty cynically, but it's a legitimate question, given some of the statements he's made.  Hmm, I wonder if someone did a survey of the political, social, and economic beliefs of environmental scientists, what the results would be? 
 
Meh, I could be wrong, of course.
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unicorns

ok, last cut 'n paste for a while at least ...

unicorns

oh, in regards to "multi-level utilitarianism" ... i am not describing a system of government as it "should be." i am describing how i believe it really is.  all other systems of government are essentially works of fiction.

you can paint a horse white and glue a horn to its head and call it a unicorn, but it's still a horse.  periodically, you will have to apply a fresh coat and reaffix the horn, if you want to maintain the illusion.

hmm, another analogy.  founding a system of government on principles of "liberty," "equality," "justice," or "happiness" is about as rational as building a car that runs on liberty, equality, justice, or happiness instead of fuel.

for example, within systems of government, there are mechanisms for the balance of power.  this really has nothing to do with liberty, equality, justice, or happiness.  it is purely a mechanism to balance competing interests - to create relative stability among different branches of government.  the individual's right to vote is meant as a mechanism to balance the competing interests (relative stability) of the individual vs. the interests of a higher level group.

government is made of concrete mechanisms.  contraptions.  constructs.  devices.  machines.

not disembodied, amorphous, ideological principles.

too much reliance on ideological principles or convoluted rationalizations have resulted in governments that do not function as they were intended.  they drift further and further away from their ideological "foundations" because they are not rooted in reality.

in a single phrase, that "reality" would best be described as ... a multi-level competition for relative stability.

not quite as catchy as "give me liberty or give me death!"

oh well.

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on John Stuart Mill and Utilitarianism

more cut 'n paste laziness (how else r u gonna spread a meme?)

Stability trumps all

I have my own personal variant of utilitarianism that combines a bit of evolutionary theory with political philosophy. I think I babbled on about it in an earlier blog. I believe in a kind of "universal selection" that applies to all things - living and non-living. This works similarly to the multi-level selection theory of evolution. The key factors involved in universal selection is properly selecting the units of selection and their relative time and spatial scales.

Anyway, I believe that when universal selection is combined with utilitarianism, it creates a fundamentally sounder theory. It is nothing really special and somewhat simple.

All excerpts are from Mill JS. Utilitarianism. New York: Macmillan Publishing Co.; 1957.

Mill first introduces the basic problem that has been troubling mankind - the foundations for a moral system of government.

Pg 3 "And after more than two thousand years the same discussions continue, philosophers are still ranged under the same contending banners, and neither thinkers nor mankind at large seem nearer to being unanimous on the subject than when the youth Socrates listened to the old Protagoras and asserted … the theory of utilitarianism against the popular morality of the so called sophist."

Mill wrote this back in 1861. It is just as applicable today. Mill contends that political philosophy is different from the "hard" sciences.

Pg 4 "But though in science the particular truths precede the general theory, the contrary might be expected to be the case with a practical art, such as morals or legislation."

Here I disagree. Morals and legislation function within the real world and are subject to the same laws and principles. It is a problem of divining those principles. However, Mill believes that it is possible to try to work down to key fundamental principles.

Pg 5 "Yet to support their pretensions there ought either to be some one fundamental principle or law at the root of all morality, or, if there be several, there shold be a determinate order of precedence among them; and the one principle, or the rule for deciding between the various principles when they conflict, ought to be self-evident."

Of course, people found their philosophies on different fundamental principles - liberty, equality, justice, and so on. For utilitarians, it is happiness. The arbitrariness of the choice creates problem.

Pg 6 "Although the nonexistence of an acknowledged first principle has made ethics not so much a guide as a consecration of men's actual sentiments, still, as men's sentiments, both of favor and of aversion, are greatly influenced by what they suppose to be the effects of things upon their happiness, the principle of utility, or, as Bentham latterly called it, the greatest happiness principle, has had a large share in forming the moral doctrines of even of those who most scornfully reject its authority."

Here is the fundamental problem. Political philosophers disagree about what the fundamental principle should be. They also seem to have the notion that this fundamental principle cannot be scientifically determined. I disagree. Political constructs exist within the real world, not in ivory towers. It is only due to a lack of the proper mental framework, memes, paradigms, whatever, that we haven't been able to find this principle. This fundamental principle should be rooted firmly in science and observation. Mill discusses the "inductive" school and how some have tried to go as far as possible backwards in trying to discern these fundamental principles, but they have not gone far enough. Utilitarians may be the closest, but ultimately, they too had to choose subjectively the principle of "greatest happiness." They define their philosophy as follows:

Pg 10 "The creed which accepts as the foundation of morals 'utility' or the 'greatest happiness principle' holds that actions are right in proportion as they tend to promote happiness; wrong as they tend to produce the reverse of happiness. By happiness is intended pleasure and the absence of pain; by unhappiness, pain and the privation of pleasure."

This is their key definition. However, ultimately, this is NOT viable. They needed to go one step further. The ultimate foundation of all politics is the same law that governs Nature - survival.

It doesn't matter what you want your end goal to be. Happiness will be sacrificed for survival. If it does not operate in accord with the laws of Nature – the laws of selection – then it will eventually fail. All political systems and their institutions, whether founded on equality, social justice, or life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness, will degrade over time because they are unstable, because they are founded upon fictions and notions of what we would like the world to be. They are artificial constructs with feet of clay.

There is only one law that rules all things. The law of selection.

(Of course, it is possible to create a relatively stable political system that maximizes happiness. Or maximizes liberty. Or the pursuit of happiness. However, the creators of that system cannot be oblivious to the power of selection and should design mechanisms into the political structure to account for the effects of selection and degradation over time.)

Higher pleasures

A basic problem with utilitarianism is how a system based upon "maximization of happiness" doesn't devolve into hedonism. To counter this, JSM cludged together the notion of "higher pleasures." Higher pleasures are more refined, altruistic types of behavior. This is a weak point of utilitarianism, and I believe that I can take apart the theory.

Pg 11 "Human beings have faculties more elevated than the animal appetites and, when once made conscious of them, do not regard anything as happiness which does not include their gratification."

Weak. JSM is arguing by assertion and assumption.

Pg 11 "But there is no Epicurean theory of life which does not assign to the pleasures of the intellect, of the feelings and imagination, and of the moral sentiments a much higher value as pleasures than to those of mere sensation."

Still assertion, but it is interesting. Could such notions be the work of memes? Memetic self-preservation? How much have memetic survival and co-evolution with humans shaped our society and our thinking? Memes are living organisms that have been used by us and have used us for thousands of years. Sometimes symbiotic, sometimes neutral, sometimes parasitic.

Pg 12-15 "quality in pleasures"

Here Mill talks about how there is a difference in quality of pleasures. These are weak arguments with lots of assertion and assumption.

For example,

Pg 13 "A being of higher faculties requires more to make him happy, is capable probably of more acute suffering, and certainly accessible to it at more points, than one of an inferior type; but in spite of these liabilities, he can never really wish to sink into what he feels to be a lower grade of existence."

Pg 13 "its most appropriate appellation is a sense of dignity, which all human beings possess in one form or other, and in some, though by no means in exact, proportion to their higher faculties, and which is so essential a part of the happiness of those in whom it is strong that nothing which conflicts with it could be otherwise than momentarily an object of desire to them."

Is it? Are you sure that it is "human dignity" that is the reason?

Pg 14 "It is better to be a human being dissatisfied than a pig satisfied; better to be Socrates dissatisfied than a fool satisfied."

I suppose that is why everyone would prefer encyclopedias to beer.

He tries to counter this obvious flaw.

Pg 14 "Capacity for the nobler feelings is in most natures a very tender plant, easily killed, not only by hostile influences, but by mere want of sustenance; and in the majority of young persons it speedily dies away if the occupations to which their position in life has devoted them, and the society into which it has thrown them, are not favorable to keeping that higher capacity in exercise."

This is clearly bull and pulling arguments out of your butt. He is using the "everybody is dumb and irrational (except for me)" argument because he cannot figure out the problem.

"Higher pleasures" are due to group-level selection pressure (self-sacrifice, altruism) or perhaps by memetic pressures (freedom of thought).

The counter to the "ya wanna be a happy pig or a sad human" argument is straightforward. Maybe people don't want to be pigs for reasons other than intellect or nobility? He creates a false choice between only two options.

Let's make things more interesting, shall we? Choice of less intellect but beast-like strength? Choice of less intellect but great power? Choice of less intellect but sexual attractiveness? Would you rather be a Socrates dissatisfied or a king satisfied? Suddenly the choice of "higher pleasures" isn't so clear.

It is apparent why someone would not want to be a pig satisfied - and it has nothing to do with "higher pleasures."  They are simply weaker than us. Ultimately, it is about viability. Survival. Selection.

If pigs were our lords and masters despite their inferior intellect, if they kept all of humankind confined in pens to breed, if they roasted us on spits and carved us up on dinner tables to feast upon ... then would it be better to be a human dissatisfied or a pig satisfied?

Individual vs. group happiness

Pg 15 "for that standard is not the agent's own greatest happiness, but the greatest amount of happiness altogether; and if it may possibly be doubted whether a noble character is always the happier for its nobleness, there can be no doubt that it makes other people happier, and that the world in general is immensely a gainer for it."

Here JSM is talking about individual vs group happiness. It shows that JSM is aware of individual vs. group pressures – but instantly chooses group happiness (maximization principle). There's lots of stuff about this in evolutionary theory regarding altruism and such.

Anyway, the key piece to realize is that there is a competition of interests and selection pressures at different levels. The happiness of the individual is in competition with the happiness of the family, village, city, nation, world, etc.

What is going on is the maximization of relative stability at all levels.

Then add memes to the mix. Treat them like the viruses that they are.

That is what is going on.

[*sigh* this is a mess. I'm too tired to clean it up and make it stronger. Go figure it out yourself. Do the whole self-discovery thing. It's not that hard.]

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all your political philosophy are belong to us

(i'm too lazy - cut 'n paste)

The problem.

The problem I have with political ideologies are their arbitrariness (and this is why they screw up the world).  They assign one or more value(s) greater importance than others.  For communists/socialists it tends to be equality.  For libertarians – liberty.  For antiquarians – antiquity.  For vegetarians – vegetability.

But is there a rational basis for assigning these abstract ideals a greater value than others?  Is it grounded in reality?  In the way the world really works?  Why should it be the central underpinning of policies that affect billions of lives?  Why not just pull any arbitrary value out of a bag and make that the central pillar of some new chic political mumbo jumbo garbage hullabaloo brouhahahahahah?  Brouhahahahahah. Brouhahahahahah!  Haha!

The problem is … people base their political philosophy subjectively – more on how they wish the world to be, rather than looking at the world objectively.  They make pseudo-attempts at a rational explanation, but it's just hokum hocus pocus.

So stop doing this you dumb people.  Dummy dummy dumb dumb poopoo heads.

Zero.

Hmm.  Let's start from zero.  Nothing has any value at all.  Life.  Liberty.  The pursuit of happiness.  Equality.  Social justice.  All that stuff.  Whatever.  Everything = nothing.

So, what is it that seems to drive us?  Let's think biology.  Pain.  Pleasure.

Pain is associated with death.  Pleasure with reproduction and life.  Both serve a simple purpose – survival.

Okay.  That's lame.  How do you construct a political philosophy out of that?  Nothing has value but survival???  Unfortunately, that is the hard truth.  Things exist to exist to exist to exist to exist to ...  The further your political philosophy deviates from this, the more dissonance will be created between your idealistic policies and their realistic outcomes (oooh oooh stick something in here about cognitive dissonance and stuff so I can do like Homer Simpson I am so smart s m r t!). 

You can build a utopian castle on top of clouds and dreams in storybooks and fairytales, but if you do so in reality, you get big heavy blocks of stone falling on your head (you know, all of these parenthetical asides are annoying me – oh, wait.  I'm the one writing this?  Whats is I doings?).
 
A one and a two.

So, now we have at least something to work with that is rooted firmly in reality and not on some arbitrary, abstract principle.  But is it possible to construct a rational way to create political principles from this?  Well, from the one political philosophy class I took a while back I remember those utilitarian guys.  The maximization of happiness people.  Bentham and Mill?  [Mill was like a supergenius (with like a eleventy bazillion [IQ]) {who would like say to me, like (STFU n00bzor!!!!)}]  Okay, so that's kinda close to the whole pain and pleasure and survival deal we've been babbling about.

But I remember they screwed up in two major ways.  Mistake one – ultimately it is not happiness, but survival that is what drives existence what.  What!?!  If it is a choice between increased happiness and increased survival, survival wins (I suppose that's why humans are so good at living and being miserable about it at the same time).  Mistake two – the whole "higher pleasures" nonsense is a messed up attempt at justifying why we all aren't engaging in orgiastic debauchery if the whole thing was about tickling our pleasure centers.  Why do we defer pleasure and value things such as hard work and self-sacrifice and place value upon doodads like artistic expression, intellectual discourse, the sciences, and such gobbledygook?  So I think it was Mill who came up with the whole "higher pleasures" concept and stuff about sad Socrates being better than a happy pig (ergo a sad panda is better than a happy monkey).  But anyway, I think this whole "higher pleasures" stuff is probably magical fairyland thinking.  However, at the time, there wasn't a framework that could accommodate all of these different data points.

And a three.

But there is a way to explain it.  If you apply a multi-level selectionist view to politics, you can create a political philosophy grounded solidly on realistic principles.  Higher pleasures are explained simply as things that can improve group stability ("happiness") versus individual stability ("happiness").  Higher pleasures tend to be things that improve or benefit the common good / society in general / nobody in particular / everyone but me. 

MU and the fall of Atlantis.

So, if you tweak the theory of utilitarianism by combining it with multi-level selectionist theory from biology, then you get MU – Multi-level utilitarianism.  (See, I make a stinky political philosophy in my pants).  Then again, "mu" means nothing.  So, I suppose we're back to zero. 

But we're not, damn it!  Jeez, what would be the point of all this!  By acknowledging that there is a competition of interests between many levels of state – starting from the individual – then you can start to understand and see what is going on.  Equal rights, intellectual freedom, higher pleasures, and all of that other stuff start to make sense.  It is just a matter of tracking down the level at which the selection pressure is coming.  Autocratic governments, devoid of such values, can still form a viable, stable system – again, it is not happiness but stability that is key – although it would suck to live in one as a peon, I suppose.

This is just mostly babbling bubbling off the top of my head.  There's some stuff that I wrote down that is even more useless – in which I was pretending to sound somewhat sane.  Anyways, I woulds likes to finally endeth this by speakething in the words of the greats philosophers, blah blah blah blah blah.  Wha wuh wtf?
 

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Breaking News! Barack Obama is black!

I wasn't too sure of it.  I thought maybe it was just a problem with the hue and tint on my TV, but the long whispered rumors are true!  Barack Obama is black.  Who knows how this shocking revelation will affect the race!!!  Then again, this could just be a dirty Republican trick or a last gasp attempt by Hillary to steal the nomination.
 
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080620/pl_nm/usa_politics_obama_race_dc
 
I still don't believe it because of Obama's Martian powers, but I may have failed to consider the possibility that there are different races of Martians.  He could be a black Martian.  Ahh ... now we get closer to the truth.
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Obama is a Martian: update

Many people have tried to obfuscate the issue of Obama being a Martian.  The issues can be broken down very simply.
 
1) Whether McCain was born in Panama is irrelevant.  The question is MOOT, since there is not even a place called "panama."  It is merely a palindrome.
2) Loyal, patriotic Americans do not have a problem with Martian immigration, per se, but rather, ILLEGAL Martian immigration.  GET THE FACTS STRAIGHT!!!
3) Obama has repeatedly ducked and avoided the issue of REPARATIONS for the Martian INVASION of Earth.  With all of the fundraising $$$ he's been raising, he better pay some of it back to the Earth people, like me!
4) Obama's Martian ability to morph into whatever hopes and dreams we project on to him is an UNFAIR advantage over Earthlings.  If you don't know what I'm talking about, do some reading!!!
5) I know Obama's trying to export his Martian system of gov't, but YOU'RE IN AMERICA NOW, bucko, and we don't take kindly to you trying to shove your crazy Martian philosophy down our throats.
6) Stop SABOTAGING our space probes!  As Americans, we have a right to colonize whatever the damn we please!
7) WE'LL DO IT LIVE!!!
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